Astana Club: TOP-10 Risks for Eurasia Are Already Coming True in 2021
NUR-SULTAN, Kazakhstan, Feb. 25, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- *Astana Club*, one of the most esteemed geopolitical forums for Europe and Asia, announces the latest edition of the international rating *"TOP-10 Risks for Eurasia in 2021"**.*
The rating is developed by the Institute of World Economics and Politics (*IWEP*), comprising over 40 international experts and 1,200 professional respondents from 75 countries in Eurasia.
The COVID-19 pandemic remains the key element to accelerate the risks in 2021 and affects recovery, social stability, digital and climate threats and the escalation of confrontations between key geopolitical players.
A brief rundown of the TOP-10 risks is presented below:
1. *THE PANDEMIC 2.0
*Given the absence of effective international cooperation mechanisms to combat the infection and the constant mutation of the virus, the pandemic threatens to continue throughout 2021, possibly longer.
2. *RECOVERY UNDER THREAT
*The pandemic, collapse of economic activity, geopolitical and social instability and the debt crisis of emerging markets are key factors that threaten the shaky recovery of the world economy.
3. *US-CHINA COLD WAR
*The US and China have crossed practically all "red lines" during the pandemic; this confrontation will transform into full scale systemic conflict in 2021.
4. *CRISIS AROUND IRAN
*Growing tensions around Iran may trigger a large-scale military confrontation, thus dealing a crushing blow to the international energy market.
5. *DECOUPLING
*Decoupling of the West and China will not only continue under the new US administration but will gain a dangerous new dynamic in 2021.
6. *DISSOLUTION OF THE NUCLEAR NON-PROLIFERATION REGIME
*The erosion of key nuclear treaties and institutions along with outstripping developments in military technologies threaten to initiate a new nuclear arms race.
7. *EXPLODING SOCIAL PROTESTS
*Political systems in many countries will come under unprecedented pressure as the economic and social impact of COVID-19 mounts.
8. *GLOBAL CYBER CRISIS
*The absence of uniform rules in the digital domain opens the road to massive cyber-attacks, which may become the catalyst for a global-level crisis.
9. *DIGITAL TOTALITARIANISM
*Total digitalization, accelerated by the pandemic, offers unprecedented opportunities to control personal data and political censure, creating the risk of a new type of totalitarianism.
10. *FAILURE OF **DECARBONISATION
*In 2021, the world will be concerned with recovering economic growth, meaning plans to decarbonize and reduce CO2 emissions will be pushed to one side, especially in developing countries.
*The **full report is available at: Link*
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