Why Nuclear Power Expansion Predictions Failed

A University of Reading team of researchers looked back at a model that predicted nuclear power would expand dramatically in order to assess the efficacy of energy policies implemented today. Results published in the journal Risk Analysis showed the team found simulations that inform energy policy had unreliable assumptions built into them and that they need more transparency about their limitations. To improve this they recommend new ways to test simulations and be upfront about their uncertainties. This includes methods like ‘sensitivity…